financeKXCREDITRATINGOpen
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?: U.S. is downgraded or defaults
YesBuy Yes
38¢
38% implied probability
NoBuy No
62¢
62% implied probability
Volume$43.9K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$25.7K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.38
No Price$0.62
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 38%
62% No
Description
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ID18954
Platformkalshi
Categoryfinance
SubcategoryKXCREDITRATING
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—