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financeKX10Y3MOpen

Treasury spread 10Y-3M by Dec 31, 2026: 0.75%

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
63¢
63% implied probability
NoBuy No
37¢
37% implied probability
Volume$146
Liquidity—
Open Interest$70
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.63
No Price$0.37
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 63%
37% No

Description

If the FRED T10Y3M series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 0.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID19413
Platformkalshi
Categoryfinance
SubcategoryKX10Y3M
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—