financeKX10Y2YOpen
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026: 1.00%
YesBuy Yes
36¢
36% implied probability
NoBuy No
65¢
65% implied probability
Volume$1.2K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$539
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.35
No Price$0.65
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 36%
65% No
Description
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ID19411
Platformkalshi
Categoryfinance
SubcategoryKX10Y2Y
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—