EconomicsKXDEFGDPOpen
Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?
YesBuy Yes
7¢
7% implied probability
NoBuy No
94¢
94% implied probability
Volume$51.5K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$13.7K
ExpiresOct 20, 2026
Yes Price$0.07
No Price$0.94
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 7%
94% No
Description
If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ID8910
Platformkalshi
CategoryEconomics
SubcategoryKXDEFGDP
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresOct 20, 2026
Resolved—