EconomicsKXGDPSHAREMANUOpen

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026

YesBuy Yes

15¢

15% implied probability

NoBuy No

85¢

85% implied probability

Volume$19.6K

Liquidity—

Open Interest$11.1K

ExpiresJun 30, 2029

Yes Price$0.15

No Price$0.85

ResolvedPending

OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 15%

85% No

If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.

ID5399

Platformkalshi

CategoryEconomics

SubcategoryKXGDPSHAREMANU

StatusOpen

CreatedApr 17, 2026

ExpiresJun 30, 2029

Resolved—