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EconomicsKXEARTHQUAKEJAPANOpen

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
56¢
56% implied probability
NoBuy No
44¢
44% implied probability
Volume$21.3K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$14.3K
ExpiresJan 1, 2030
Yes Price$0.56
No Price$0.44
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 56%
44% No

Description

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID5340
Platformkalshi
CategoryEconomics
SubcategoryKXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2030
Resolved—