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EconomicsKXNBERRECESSQOpen

When will the next U.S. recession start?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
0¢
0% implied probability
NoBuy No
100¢
100% implied probability
Volume$43.2K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$19.6K
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.00
No Price$1.00
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 0%
100% No

Description

If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q4 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID68340
Platformkalshi
CategoryEconomics
SubcategoryKXNBERRECESSQ
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—