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CryptoKXSATOSHIBTCYEAROpen

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
7¢
7% implied probability
NoBuy No
94¢
94% implied probability
Volume$131.5K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$47.2K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.07
No Price$0.94
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 7%
94% No

Description

If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID19625
Platformkalshi
CategoryCrypto
SubcategoryKXSATOSHIBTCYEAR
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—