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climateKXWARMINGOpen

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
78¢
78% implied probability
NoBuy No
22¢
22% implied probability
Volume$13.2K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$5.5K
ExpiresJan 1, 2050
Yes Price$0.78
No Price$0.22
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 78%
22% No

Description

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID4954
Platformkalshi
Categoryclimate
SubcategoryKXWARMING
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2050
Resolved—