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climateKXMETEOROpen

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
55¢
55% implied probability
NoBuy No
45¢
45% implied probability
Volume$112.2K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$30.9K
ExpiresJan 1, 2030
Yes Price$0.55
No Price$0.45
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 55%
45% No

Description

If a major meteor (10 kilotons TNT equivalent or greater) hits Earth before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID68447
Platformkalshi
Categoryclimate
SubcategoryKXMETEOR
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2030
Resolved—