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climateKXERUPTSUPEROpen

When will a supervolcano next erupt?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
21¢
21% implied probability
NoBuy No
79¢
79% implied probability
Volume$27.5K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$10.4K
ExpiresJan 1, 2050
Yes Price$0.21
No Price$0.79
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 21%
79% No

Description

If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID4956
Platformkalshi
Categoryclimate
SubcategoryKXERUPTSUPER
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2050
Resolved—